Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.819205 2.105965 2.421307 2.793555 3.220733 3.695382 4.262578
2025-03-09 1.397172 1.765791 2.205903 2.769170 3.470014 4.312452 5.401175
2025-03-16 1.078209 1.472692 1.979099 2.674827 3.603762 4.799167 6.452122
2025-03-23 0.930183 1.361295 1.951437 2.814544 4.040587 5.715146 8.170966
2025-03-30 0.800422 1.247453 1.896165 2.900216 4.408335 6.581218 9.939974
2025-04-06 0.678439 1.120693 1.797968 2.902248 4.647855 7.288471 11.570129
2025-04-13 0.549618 0.959277 1.619322 2.749516 4.623684 7.590679 12.620484
2025-04-20 0.492419 0.903325 1.596424 2.836665 4.983495 8.523070 14.766289
2025-04-27 0.453986 0.872239 1.608332 2.980232 5.450704 9.678721 17.412163
2025-05-04 0.409630 0.822625 1.579529 3.045980 5.787698 10.648630 19.850179
2025-05-11 0.367249 0.769409 1.535533 3.075676 6.059644 11.530049 22.226721
2025-05-18 0.317076 0.692498 1.435337 2.983574 6.089318 11.971296 23.840700
2025-05-25 0.267219 0.609370 1.313517 2.836943 6.004429 12.207505 25.136072
2025-06-01 0.239796 0.569457 1.273343 2.850270 6.240357 13.089142 27.798043
2025-06-08 0.208646 0.515953 1.196623 2.775365 6.283648 13.592723 29.761915
2025-06-15 0.199336 0.511258 1.225346 2.934018 6.845411 15.221620 34.247707
2025-06-22 0.186380 0.495615 1.227018 3.031710 7.285263 16.643480 38.457647
2025-06-29 0.169051 0.466110 1.192011 3.038904 7.520338 17.648091 41.870455
2025-07-06 0.144594 0.413913 1.094594 2.882096 7.351166 17.733202 43.226523
2025-07-13 0.136215 0.403119 1.098140 2.975050 7.793132 19.260755 48.079178
2025-07-20 0.131256 0.400921 1.123306 3.126457 8.398463 21.236911 54.211520
2025-07-27 0.122932 0.387692 1.117505 3.195977 8.805150 22.782044 59.474027
2025-08-03 0.113822 0.370550 1.098577 3.227481 9.116965 24.128713 64.395396